Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Election results provided by the Associated Press. The 50 political states of America - The Washington Post Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Continue with Recommended Cookies. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Blue States 2023 - Worldpopulationreview We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Manage Settings The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Red States 2023 - Worldpopulationreview On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. But I've got news for them, too. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Number of mass shootings in the United States between - Statista *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. 10. Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps 2020 Pennsylvania Election Results 2020 | Live Map Updates | Voting by Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. We may not know results in PA fordays. Inside Pennsylvania, a Truly Red State - Richardcyoung Why blue states' economies are suffering more than red states' right now. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Is The Electoral Map Changing? | FiveThirtyEight Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Anita What do you want to know? 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Blue states rank better than red ones: How'd your state fare in 14 In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. Pennsylvania Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. What Painted Us So Indelibly Red and Blue? - Governing (PA, GA, MI)". Blue States Have Been Hit Much Harder by COVID-19. Why? Winner chosen by the House of Representatives Blue wall (U.S. politics) - Wikipedia Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Success! Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . 4, another 2020 red state. List of Red States (Republican States) - WorldAtlas Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. Maps show how Pennsylvania voted for president county-by-county - WTAE Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Not one! This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. Swing states: Arizona - A red state turning blue? - CGTN [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. Tennessee. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Is Wisconsin a red state? How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? The blue-state exodus gains momentum | The Hill List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023) - GkGigs How Red Or Blue Is Your State? | FiveThirtyEight But registration figures vary greatly by county. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Which States Flipped In The 2020 Election? There Was A Shakeup Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. We identify swing states as. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Dec. 10, 2020. Our Maps Shouldn't Lie About Our Votes - Sightline Institute Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. #V. Which ones are more politically competitive? ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Historically, Pennsylvania defies being labeled as 'Blue' or 'Red' state In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Dra 2020 Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2020 US Presidential Election Results: Live Map - ABC News Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. elections. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Is New Hampshire a blue state? - Quora But What about Investing in Bonds? If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Hi everyone from D.C.! Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. 'Ohio has taken a different turn': Ohio no longer appears to be a swing '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election.